EDITOR'S NOTE: OUR SUPERCOMPUTER beardog IS NOT Big ON Aaron Rodgers for next year and we trust that. But here is the counterargument:
Opposing NFL defenses took it on the chin from Aaron Rodgers during the 2011 regular season. Rodgers shredded NFL safeties and cornerbacks to the tune of 4643 yards, 45 TDs and 122.5 rating. He threw only 6 interceptions. He was the MVP and seemed poised for back-to-back Super Bowls. Then it happened.
The bye happened.
The Packers had the #1 seed and a first-round bye headed into their playoff match-up with the Giants. However, Aaron Rodgers had not thrown in a game in three weeks headed into that game. Keep in mind that he took off Week 17 against the Detroit Lions. That was the same game in which Matt Flynn torched the Lions and earned himself a great deal of money. Against the Giants, It was clear that Aaron Rodgers did not connect with his receivers in the same manner that he did during the regular season. Thus, the Packer’s season came to an abrupt conclusion.
This is the exact reason why Aaron Rodgers could be the #1 pick in fantasy football draft boards. Aaron Rodgers was second to Drew Brees in terms of fantasy points among quarterbacks. However, Drew Brees had an abnormally high number of passing yardage and touchdowns. One cannot expect him to duplicate the same success without Sean Payton.
On the other hand, Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers will play with a huge chip on their shoulder this season. Thus, fantasy owners can expect a focused and motivated Aaron Rodgers every week. This will translate into on-field success for the Packers and possible fantasy football championships for fantasy owners. As long as Aaron Rodgers continues to have his full complement in terms of receivers and tight ends, he will hold the top spot. I Aaron Rodgers could win a second MVP award this season and that he will spearhead fantasy owners to success as well.
3 Solid Steps to building your Fantasy Football Team:
Step 1. Understand your point structure. Rank the positions.
All the time I see people ask their friends “How does my fantasy football team look?” and will go on to list off their players. This is always an impossible question to answer because we do not know your point structure. You may have 3 of the best receivers on the planet but if it’s one of the weakest positions in your league then they’re nothing but a pretty name.
Each league is different, so it’s extremely important to know what your value positions are. In most cookie cutter leagues it’s the Running Backs, which is why they go so fast, but you always want to make sure. What I always like to do is execute my leagues point structure against last year’s stats. That way you see what positions rise to the top. This is quick and simple to do in excel and goes a long way when it comes to draft day.
Step 2. Starting Slots are key. Do the Math when drafting.
Now that you know what your value positions are, take a look at your starting slots. Does your league have 1 quarterback but 3 running backs starting? Or 2 and 2? On draft day be aware of the strength in position and the holes you have to fill. If your league has only 1 quarterback slot and multiple running back slots, you have no business taking a quarterback in the first two rounds. Load up on your strength positions early and often, heck even one on the bench early on will not only help your trade value but could be vital should one of your starters get injured or is going up against a stingy defense.
Knowing your slots are huge, because if there is only 12 teams in your league with 1 starting slot for a given position, that means you’re likely to get a top 12 caliber player at that position. Don’t stretch for an Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady in the first or second round, when you’ll have a Phillip Rivers, Jay Cutler, or Ben Roethlisberger sitting there in rounds 4-6. You could be loading up on Running Backs and Wide Receivers instead.
Step 3. Tight Ends are as good as Receivers.
You need at least 1 solid ball catcher on your team. But people make the mistake of stretching for a Wide Receiver because there are 3-4 of those slots they need to fill when its very well likely that there is a solid Tight End on the board. Most systems and ranking sheets will break these two positions apart yet the point structure is the same, so always be sure when the time comes you consider both positions. I’ll take a Rob Gronkowski or Jimmy Graham over a Wes Welker or Roddy White any day of the week. It is perfectly fine for your solid ball catcher to be a Tight End and have all mid level guys in your wide receiver slots.
Good luck and happy drafting!
On New Year’s Day, 2012, Matt Flynn not only broke the record that Aaron Rodgers never could as a starter, but he also greatly improved his stock for the upcoming 2012-2013 season. This great accomplishment also comes with the fact that the Packers were not even playing full strength for the last game of the regular season. Touchdowns: -Flynn to Jordy Nelson- 7 yds. -Flynn to Ryan Grant- 80 yds. -Flynn to Jordy Nelson- 36 yds. -Flynn to Jordy nelson- 58 yds. -Flynn to Donald Driver- 35 yds. -Flynn to Jermichael Finley- 4 yds. Video Property of Fox Sports
Like us on Facebook www.facebook.com Aaron Rodgers had some kind words for general managers interested in acquiring his former backup, Matt Flynn. “The team that gets Matt is going to be very happy, I can promise you,” Rodgers said of the free agent. “They’ll be getting a top-15 quarterback.” The Green Bay Packers quarterback surely meant it as a compliment to his understudy of four seasons. But was it? There are 32 starting quarterbacks in the NFL. Being in the top 15 could mean you’re barely better than half, right in the meaty part of the curve. Let’s assume the top-14 quarterbacks in the league are, in some order: Rodgers, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, Eli Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, Matthew Stafford, Michael Vick, Tony Romo, Jay Cutler, Matt Schaub, Philip Rivers, Matt Ryan and Andrew Luck. You can quibble with the bottom of the list, but that’s beside the point. Essentially, Rodgers is saying that Flynn will be Joe Flacco, Mark Sanchez or Alex Smith.